Fewer Workers and Rising Wages Equals More Spending

August 18, 2010

The Economist published an interesting piece about the changing economic landscape in China.   If you read between the lines, it appears that the Wall Street crash that shook the world in 2008 and is still generating pain may have been a catalyst for changes benefiting the Chinese worker.

In 2008, 670 thousand factories closed their doors in China putting 25 million migrant laborers out of work, but wages went up 17.3% by the end of 2009, which makes no sense.

When I was still teaching and California’s money was tight, schools saw funds cut, jobs lost and salaries frozen, which is still happening now because of the 2008 crash.

A shrinking workforce in China happened to coincide with the 2008 global economic meltdown.  The International Business Times reports that due to China’s longtime one-child, family planning policy, the population of 20 to 39 year-old workers, the backbone of China’s labor force, has dropped 22% in the last 10 years while older workers are staying in the villages.

These changes encouraged China’s central government to shift support from businesses to workers by encouraging the provinces to raise the minimum wage while keeping a low profile during labor unrest.

Some industries moved inland where wages are lower but ended up selling their products to local Chinese consumers, which caused other foreign companies to build factories inland—not for the cheap labor, but to get closer to those local consumers.

According to The Economist, “As pay goes up, the country’s domestic market will become more lucrative. Foreign firms that came for the workers will stay for the shoppers. China will become more of a workshop for itself and less of one for the world.” 

In today’s harsh global economy, China may have the only growing consumer market. In fact, this may generate jobs in America.  To understand, you’ll have to read both pieces yourself.

See Hitting Endless Home Runs

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Lloyd Lofthouse is the award-winning author of the concubine saga, My Splendid Concubine & Our Hart. When you love a Chinese woman, you marry her family and culture too. 

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China’s Middle Class Expanding

April 20, 2010

“Present estimates of “middle class” in China range from 100 million to 247 million… Estimates of the size and growth rate of China’s middle class vary. Roughly half of China’s projected urban population will be middle class in 2025.

“Unlike the United States, where income typically peaks between the ages of 45 to 54, it is predicted that the wealthiest consumers in China will be between 25 to 44 years old because the younger generation will be more highly educated.” Source:  Rise of China’s Middle Class

Buying Cars:
“In the first quarter of 2010, Chinese bought 4.61m units, up 71.78 percent year on year, according to the CAAM.” Source: The Truth About Cars

Buying Houses:
“…demand is still strong. A recent survey by the Hong Kong-based brokerage CLSA found that 56 percent of China’s middle-class families are considering buying a new home.” Source: Sinocism

“Furthermore, homebuyers in China put down at least 20 percent as a down payment (30 percent for a first-time buyer and 40 percent for a second-home buyer to damp down speculation). These buyers rarely fall behind on their mortgage payments.” Source: No Housing Bubble in China

Food:
“China’s mass grocery retail is booming and the turnover of both Chinese and foreign supermarket chains are growing.  The middle class’ new consumption patterns and increasing income has been a catalyst for growth and creates new export opportunities for Danish food companies.” Source: Renmin Shimbun

Discover The Reasons Why China is Studying Singapore

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Lloyd Lofthouse is the award-winning author of My Splendid Concubine [3rd edition]. When you love a Chinese woman, you marry her family and culture too. This is the love story Sir Robert Hart did not want the world to discover.

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