The Have or Have Nots at the G-20 in South Korea

October 28, 2010

The world appears to be divided between nations that have spent too much and those that save.

In China, people that hold onto money are called “Iron Roosters”. In the US, we call people who save stingy or skin flints or other insulting terms. The average saving rate among Chinese is about 40%, while the average family in the US carries several thousand dollars in credit card debt.

According to the Wall Street Journal, the US is among the ‘Have Nots’. In G-20 Deal to Curb China is Weakened, Evan Ramstad and Bob Davis said that “China, Japan and Germany all have surpluses; the U.S. has a deficit.”

However, the US is not alone. “Australia, Canada, Britain and France, all of which have current-account deficits, lined up with the US” to pressure China to let the value of the yuan rise.

The US and other Western nations that have overspent need to export more products to other countries and import less.  For this to happen, the US dollar must be worth less than the Chinese yuan to pressure U.S. consumers to stop buying products made in China when prices for those products become higher than what is manufactured in America.

This means that countries with money in the bank want to rely less on exports for growth and more on homegrown demand instead of buying more products from the debt-ridden nations.

Germany’s current account surplus is about 6%, Japan’s 3% and China is at 4.7%. The U.S. is running a 3.2% deficit, which should be no surprise.

It appears that China won this round and will not loosen controls on the value of the yuan yet.  The US went into the G-20 summit in South Korea wanting to punish China for US consumer appetites to buy cheap foreign made goods.

Instead, little was accomplished.

It’s all about the national interest of each nation, and China and America have opposing interests.

If America wins, China loses.

In fact, whoever, wins this global currency war will be the stronger for it. The question is, Will the Iron Rooster win or the Buy Now Pay Later nation?

See Democracy’s Economic Roller Coaster

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Lloyd Lofthouse is the award-winning author of the concubine saga, My Splendid Concubine & Our Hart. When you love a Chinese woman, you marry her family and culture too. 

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Misconceptions of China – Chinese Currency

August 21, 2010

Larry talks about Chinese currency and how the Western media says it is too cheap and isn’t a fair price. The media says this exports American jobs to China.

Many Americans believe that having China revalue its currency is important to America.

However, experts say that if China’s currency were allowed to flow, it would be about 1 to 5 and maybe 1 to 4 instead of 1 to 6 or 1 to 7. 

What that means is that all goods manufactured in China would become more expensive in America and Europe. Prices for products from China could quickly go up 20%

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xMyJyOWffbw

Source: ShiWoLarry

Instead of jobs returning to the US, Western companies that manufacture in China would find cheaper labor elsewhere like in Vietnam. 

In addition, changing the way China values its currency will not cause most customers from other nations to buy from the US, because labor costs in America are too high due to unions.

Larry asks, “Will Chinese goods become more expensive and hurt the US?”  He says, “Yes.”

If anything, this currency issue is more political than economical.

See Doing Business in China or return to Misconceptions of China – Chinese Wealth and Poverty

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Lloyd Lofthouse is the award-winning author of the concubine saga, My Splendid Concubine & Our Hart. When you love a Chinese woman, you marry her family and culture too. 

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